Markov Model I | ||||
Yearly Rupture Rate (YRR) | Cumulative Rupture Probability (CRP) | |||
Range | Mean | Range | Mean | |
Year 5 | 0.1% - 40.4% | 0.5% ± 2.6% | 0.2% - 92.5% | 1.9% ± 7.1% |
Year 10 | 0.1% - 40.5% | 0.6% ± 2.6% | 0.7% - 99.4% | 3.7% ± 9.4% |
Year 15 | 0.1% - 40.5% | 0.7% ± 2.6% | 1.3% - 100.0% | 5.8% ± 10.9% |
Year 20 | 0.2% - 40.6% | 0.8% ± 2.6% | 2.1% - 100.0% | 8.2% ± 11.9% |
Year 25 | 0.2% - 40.6% | 0.9% ± 2.6% | 3.0% - 100.0% | 10.9% ± 12.5% |
Year 30 | 0.2% - 40.7% | 1.0% ± 2.6% | 4.0% - 100.0% | 13.9% ± 12.9% |
Markov Model II | ||||
Yearly Rupture Rate (YRR) | Cumulative Rupture Probability (CRP) | |||
Range | Mean | Range | Mean | |
Year 5 | 0.0% - 46.0% | 0.9% ± 4.3% | 0.0% - 95.4% | 2.5% ± 9.9% |
Year 10 | 0.0% - 59.4% | 1.2% ± 6.2% | 0.0% - 99.8% | 4.7% ± 13.4% |
Year 15 | 0.0% - 84.1% | 1.6% ± 8.3% | 0.1% - 100.0% | 6.9% ± 15.4% |
Year 20 | 0.0% - 100.0% | 2.0% ± 10.1% | 0.1% - 100.0% | 9.2% ± 17.6% |
Year 25 | 0.0% - 100.0% | 2.2% ± 10.7% | 0.1% - 100.0% | 11.7% ± 19.8% |
Year 30 | 0.0% - 100.0% | 2.3% ± 10.8% | 0.1% - 100.0% | 14.2% ± 22.0% |